Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 1.272344 1.531396 1.850012 2.277837 2.848582 3.600868 4.697867
2025-01-12 0.889637 1.175815 1.577777 2.208959 3.227627 4.916320 8.213919
2025-01-19 0.693997 0.975392 1.407884 2.168445 3.593104 6.471555 13.974890
2025-01-26 0.607753 0.900310 1.386932 2.337097 4.399227 9.563235 28.940498
2025-02-02 0.538622 0.831161 1.349245 2.452645 5.180058 13.594455 61.835958
2025-02-09 0.472888 0.751704 1.268908 2.446240 5.678864 17.666874 126.149676
2025-02-16 0.415385 0.675167 1.174351 2.371337 5.952129 21.570299 254.092880
2025-02-23 0.380361 0.633278 1.138341 2.422111 6.667042 29.410907 815.333954
2025-03-02 0.355354 0.605831 1.125618 2.528233 7.693273 43.030128 6411.596898
2025-03-09 0.328037 0.569410 1.085296 2.544452 8.414896 58.609322 570220.570424
2025-03-16 0.298011 0.523362 1.014390 2.447449 8.575261 70.520451 NaN
2025-03-23 0.283101 0.506419 1.008189 2.548948 9.848600 110.735855 NaN
2025-03-30 0.265127 0.481222 0.978805 2.571335 10.803640 165.027606 NaN
2025-04-06 0.244596 0.448215 0.924714 2.492728 11.103278 215.524842 NaN
2025-04-13 0.227845 0.421656 0.882888 2.445695 11.607858 301.252592 NaN
2025-04-20 0.222354 0.419413 0.903995 2.644284 14.334811 784.176278 NaN
2025-04-27 0.214733 0.411345 0.907972 2.780758 16.978976 2325.850852 NaN
2025-05-04 0.203222 0.392940 0.880030 2.773195 18.294077 5723.140651 NaN
2025-05-11 0.190478 0.370400 0.836980 2.684723 18.608549 11684.112922 NaN
2025-05-18 0.183015 0.359741 0.826842 2.744680 21.000921 132260.112070 NaN
2025-05-25 0.177734 0.353793 0.829691 2.870224 24.890663 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 0.170289 0.341794 0.812309 2.889438 27.376735 NaN NaN
2025-06-08 0.160497 0.323140 0.771834 2.774627 27.212059 NaN NaN